Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Alaves
50.69% ( 2.21)	25.78% ( -0.73)	23.53% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

1.53)

54.94% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

1.25)

76.22% (

-1.25)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

1.62)

21.72% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

2.42)

54.88% (

-2.42)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

-0.51)

38.62% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

-0.48)

75.37% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 50.68%

Alaves 23.53%

Draw 25.78%

Cartagena	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.53%