SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Alaves |
50.69% ( 2.21) | 25.78% ( -0.73) | 23.53% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( 1.53) | 54.94% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 1.25) | 76.22% ( -1.25) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( 1.62) | 21.72% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( 2.42) | 54.88% ( -2.42) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.51) | 38.62% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( -0.48) | 75.37% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.53% |
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