Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
