Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.