Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
