Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.