SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Racing de Santander |
40.19% ( 0.09) | 26.85% ( 0.02) | 32.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.85% ( -0.1) | 54.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( -0.09) | 75.56% ( 0.09) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0) | 26.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( 0) | 61.6% |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0.13) | 30.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -0.15) | 67.04% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.95% |
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