Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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