SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Almeria |
46.53% ( 1.08) | 25.37% ( 0.01) | 28.1% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( -0.65) | 50.08% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% ( -0.58) | 72.05% ( 0.58) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.21) | 21.53% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( 0.33) | 54.59% ( -0.33) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( -1.15) | 32.14% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( -1.32) | 68.62% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.1% |
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