SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.45%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 30.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.62%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 30.09% | 31.46% | 38.45% |
| Both teams to score 37.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.91% | 87.09% |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.11% | 77.88% |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% | 35.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.88% | 72.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.24% Total : 30.08% | 0-0 @ 14.62% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.45% | 0-1 @ 15.2% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-3 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.44% |
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