Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.15%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
