Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.91%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 29.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.52%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.
