Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.85%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.5%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
