Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
0.41) 
-0.33) 
