Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
