Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
