Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
