Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-1.51) 
0.56) 
