Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
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