Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
0.73) 
-0.08) 
