SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Eldense |
48.72% ( 0.37) | 27.32% ( -0.07) | 23.96% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% ( 0.03) | 60% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% ( 0.02) | 80.24% ( -0.02) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0.19) | 24.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.65% ( 0.26) | 59.34% ( -0.26) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.26) | 41.07% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.23) | 77.62% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.96% |
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