Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.95%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.
0.45) 
-0.06) 
