Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.95%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.
Result | ||
Racing de Santander | Draw | Eibar |
35.28% ( 0.45) | 30.85% ( -0.06) | 33.87% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 39.95% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.33% ( 0.16) | 67.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.28% ( 0.11) | 85.71% ( -0.11) |
Racing de Santander Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.7% ( 0.41) | 36.29% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( 0.41) | 73.08% ( -0.41) |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -0.19) | 37.29% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.18) | 74.07% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Racing de Santander | Draw | Eibar |
1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.28% | 0-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.84% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 33.87% |
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