Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 43.69%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 1-0 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.4) 
