SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
| 38.29% | 28.68% | 33.03% |
| Both teams to score 45.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.09% | 80.91% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% | 30.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.96% | 67.04% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% | 34.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.11% | 70.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.03% |
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