Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.