Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.09%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
