Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.66%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.11%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.