Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.36%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malaga in this match.