Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for UD Logrones had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 2-1 (6.5%). The likeliest UD Logrones win was 0-1 (13.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alcorcon in this match.