Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 37.12%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 30.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
