Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.19%. A win for UD Logrones had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (6.64%). The likeliest UD Logrones win was 1-0 (13.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
