Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 34.83%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (13.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
