Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.