Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.
