Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.45) 
0.41) 
