Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Real Oviedo
33.28% ( 0.08)	29.73% ( 0.04)	36.99% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 42.75% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.68% (

-0.1)

64.32% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.59% (

-0.08)

83.41% (

0.08)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

-0)

35.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

-0)

72.63% (

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.13)

33.34% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.14)

69.96% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 33.28%

Real Oviedo 36.99%

Draw 29.71%

Cartagena	Draw	Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.28%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.71%	0-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.99%