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Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
2 - 1
Villarreal II

Alemao (5', 45+1')
Colombatto (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ontiveros (41' pen.)
Rodri (22'), Navarro Badenes (45+5'), Ontiveros (81')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alcorcon 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 23 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.53%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawVillarreal II
72.71% (-0.102 -0.1) 18.25% (0.149 0.15) 9.03% (-0.048100000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.43% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.725 -0.73)50.23% (0.722 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.647 -0.65)72.19% (0.645 0.64)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.239 -0.24)12.4% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (-0.5 -0.5)38.29% (0.498 0.5)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.88% (-0.561 -0.56)56.12% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.46% (-0.327 -0.33)88.54% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 72.7%
    Villarreal II 9.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Real OviedoDrawVillarreal II
2-0 @ 15.16% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 14.53% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 72.7%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 9.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 23 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-1 Racing
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-2 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 3-2 Levante
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 3-0 Real Oviedo
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 5-0 Burgos
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 2-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-1 Elche
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 2-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-0 Zaragoza
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 1-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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