Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
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