SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.41%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Cartagena |
| 51.35% | 28.2% | 20.46% |
| Both teams to score 38.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.88% | 84.12% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% | 60.96% |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.9% | 83.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 16.74% 2-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.33% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.75% 4-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.81% Total : 51.34% | 0-0 @ 12.41% 1-1 @ 12.35% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.46% |
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