Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.41%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
