Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.1%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.