Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.