SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.48%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 41.48% | 32% | 26.52% |
| Both teams to score 35.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.01% | 71.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.52% | 88.48% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.58% | 71.42% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.23% | 45.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.46% | 81.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 16.81% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.48% | 0-0 @ 15.88% 1-1 @ 13.13% 2-2 @ 2.72% Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.99% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.52% |
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