Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.
