Cartagena
2 - 1
Lugo

Castro (33' pen., 84')
Andujar (15'), Silva (60'), Claveria (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barreiro (17')
Barreiro (79'), Albes Yanez (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.61%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Lugo
39.61%	30.65%	29.74%

Both teams to score 39.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.37%

67.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.31%

85.68%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55%

33.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92%

70.08%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.6%

40.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98%

77.02%

Score Analysis

Cartagena 39.6%

Lugo 29.73%

Draw 30.64%

Cartagena	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 8.1% 2-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.6%	0-0 @ 13.51% 1-1 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.64%	0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.34% Total : 29.73%