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Segunda Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 0
Alcorcon

de Souza (50' pen.)
Rodriguez (57'), Manuel Arias Copete (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (38'), Gorosito (90+2')
Laure (48')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 41.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawAlcorcon
41.07%30.35%28.58%
Both teams to score 39.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.91%67.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67%85.33%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4%77.6%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 41.07%
    Alcorcon 28.57%
    Draw 30.34%
PonferradinaDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 14.98%
2-0 @ 8.47%
2-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 13.24%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.34%
0-1 @ 11.79%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 28.57%

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