Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 40.82%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.1%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
