Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
