Ponferradina
4 - 0
Malaga

Naranjo (12', 44'), de Souza (53' pen.), Medina (83')
Copete (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

de la Fuente (34'), Escassi (77'), Brandon (78'), Calero (86')
Abaida (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Malaga
39.36%	30.95%	29.69%

Both teams to score 38.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.52%

68.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.75%

86.26%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93%

34.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25%

70.76%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.06%

40.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.5%

77.51%

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 39.36%

Malaga 29.69%

Draw 30.95%

Ponferradina	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.36%	0-0 @ 13.95% 1-1 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.95%	0-1 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.29% Total : 29.69%