SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Cartagena |
47.8% ( -0.49) | 26.92% ( 0.06) | 25.27% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( 0.08) | 57.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( 0.06) | 78.51% ( -0.06) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.19) | 24.22% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.27) | 58.57% ( 0.27) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.43) | 38.62% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( 0.41) | 75.36% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.27% |
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