SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Las Palmas |
25.28% ( -0.05) | 24.25% ( -0.11) | 50.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.43) | 47.35% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.39) | 69.57% ( -0.39) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.18) | 32.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.2) | 69.5% ( -0.2) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.23) | 18.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.39) | 50.2% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.47% |
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