SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Tenerife |
37.04% ( -1.18) | 30.64% ( -0.21) | 32.32% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.31% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.78) | 67.16% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.62% ( 0.52) | 85.37% ( -0.52) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.34) | 34.84% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( -0.36) | 71.57% ( 0.35) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( 1.5) | 38.13% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( 1.41) | 74.89% ( -1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.63% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.65% Total : 32.32% |
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